Information leverage in interconnected ecosystems: Overcoming the curse of dimensionality.

نویسندگان

  • Hao Ye
  • George Sugihara
چکیده

In ecological analysis, complexity has been regarded as an obstacle to overcome. Here we present a straightforward approach for addressing complexity in dynamic interconnected systems. We show that complexity, in the form of multiple interacting components, can actually be an asset for studying natural systems from temporal data. The central idea is that multidimensional time series enable system dynamics to be reconstructed from multiple viewpoints, and these viewpoints can be combined into a single model. We show how our approach, multiview embedding (MVE), can improve forecasts for simulated ecosystems and a mesocosm experiment. By leveraging complexity, MVE is particularly effective for overcoming the limitations of short and noisy time series and should be highly relevant for many areas of science.

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عنوان ژورنال:
  • Science

دوره 353 6302  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2016